Box Office Monthly Review: May 2014

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Despite the fact that May had a lot of highly anticipated summer blockbusters and managed to cross the $1 billion mark for the fourth year in a row, this May was the lowest grossing that it has ever been since 2010. Don’t believe me? Well, the only film released in this last month that will easily cross the $200 million mark is X-Men: Days of Future Past, the seventh film in the long-running franchise.

Leading the way with grosses, but also probably the most disappointing of the bunch, was The Amazing Spider-Man 2. As of right now, it has around $193 million, which is around $54 million behind were The Amazing Spider-Man at this same point back in 2012. I think it’s safe to say that the Spider-Man has fallen off quite a bit. Sony might want to seriously consider making a deal to feature Spider-Man in the Avengers films, because it’s quite sad when a franchise that was once a juggernaut at the box office is now unable to outgross Thor: The Dark World.

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Now onto Godzilla. After its phenomenal $93 million opening weekend gross, many were claiming how the film would be able to gross around $250 million when it was all said and done. Well, that was before they saw the film’s massive 67% drop in its second weekend. Now, the film will be struggling to reach $200 million, which is pretty embarrassing. That would mean that it managed to make half of its grosses on its opening weekend. Talk about front-loaded.

Like I said earlier, the only film that will comfortably cross the $200 million mark is X-Men: Days of Future Past. Many have called this installment yet another disappointment financially, but I don’t see that at all. Considering that the last two films managed to gross below $150 million and that this franchise was considered to be DOA, Days of Future Past opened much larger than I thought it was going to. And even if it doesn’t match X-Men: The Last Stand‘s final gross ($234 million), it’s still a win for the X-Men franchise.

What many people are claiming to be the “winner” this past month at the box office was the frat comedy Neighbors. The film has done a pretty good job, considering how it also fell off pretty far after its opening weekend (noticing a trend?). Other comedies in May failed to make much of an impression. Blended has only made $30 million after two weeks, and I’ll be surprised if A Million Ways to Die in the West even grosses much more than that. Meanwhile, Maleficent performed decently its opening weekend, but I doubt it’ll make its way over $200 million. But you never know. It might hold well this next weekend.

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My Predictions vs. The Results
(My predictions can be found HERE)

“Final” numbers are predictions on how far they’ll actually make, not actually final yet.

The Amazing Spider-Man 2
My Prediction (Opening Weekend): $112.1 million
Actual Result (Opening Weekend): $91.6 million
My Prediction (Final): $275.7 million
Actual Result (Final): $200 million

Neighbors
My Prediction: (Opening Weekend): $33.8 million
Actual Result: (Opening Weekend): $49.0 million
My Prediction: (Final): $125.9 million
Actual Result: (Final): $150 million

Godzilla
My Prediction (Opening Weekend): $76.0 million
Actual Result: (Opening Weekend): $93.2 million
My Prediction (Final): $238.3 million
Actual Result: (Final): $195 million

X-Men: Days of Future Past
My Prediction (Opening Weekend): $80.9 million
Actual Result (Opening Weekend): $90.8 million
My Prediction (Final): $230.4 million
Actual Result (Final): $220 million

Blended
My Prediction (Opening Weekend): $29.6 million
Actual Result (Opening Weekend): $14.3 million
My Prediction (Final): $91.3 million
Actual Result (Final): $55 million

Maleficent
My Prediction (Opening Weekend): $49.0 million
Actual Result: (Opening Weekend): $69.4 million
My Prediction (Final): $155.4 million
Actual Result (Final): $180-$200 million

A Million Ways to Die in the West
My Prediction: (Opening Weekend): $24.7 million
Actual Result: (Opening Weekend): $16.7 million
My Prediction (Final): $72.1 million
Actual Result (Final): $40 million

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